February 15, 2021

Changes in K–12 enrollment across CA counties potentially devastating

Demographic projections from the DOF suggest that CA’s public K–12 school system is entering a long period of declining enrollment. By 2027–28, statewide enrollment is projected to fall nearly 7 percent (compared to 1.5% over the past decade). Enrollment is projected to shrink in about half of all counties, and declines are expected in more of the state’s larger counties.

Districts with declining enrollment face fiscal pressures, as state funding is tied to the number of students they serve. Declining enrollment also has important implications for the state budget. This report looks at recent district-level enrollment declines and assessed their consequences for districts as well as the state budget.

This interactive map allows you to see historical and projected changes in K–12 enrollment in each of California’s 58 counties. For more information, see the PPIC report Declining Enrollment in California Schools: Fiscal Challenges and Opportunities in the Coming Decade.

 

Declining Enrollment in California Schools: Fiscal Challenges and Opportunities in the Coming Decade